Internet-based telephony, otherwise known as VoIP or
broadband phone, has been in the news recently as companies like eBay
and Microsoft compete to snap up key players in this market segment.
When eBay buys a company like Skype for $2.6 billion, or Microsoft
purchases Teleo for a reported $100 million, what exactly are they
buying? More to the point, what should IT managers and users understand
about this new technology so they can be prepared to benefit from it as
it matures and multiplies?
What are you talking
about?
First, a quick primer in VoIP: It describes many
different forms of Internet-based communication, with the common factor
that calls are routed over the existing IP-based Internet, as just
another type of packetized data, rather than separately through an
independent, voice-only network such as those owned by the major telecom
carriers like AT&T and Sprint.
In some VoIP scenarios, callers
are limited to computer-to-computer calling in which users of
headset-equipped PCs, via software like Skype, find their call recipient
in a directory and connect directly from their desktops. Many early
business implementations required IP phones, small, desktop IP devices
that looked like telephones but were actually special-use computers,
addressable as IP-based voice devices. But many of the most recent
implementations are designed to bridge the gap between the old telephone
network and VoIP, and require less of this type of specialized equipment
and allow both residential and business users to repurpose existing
handsets for IP telephone.
Of course, in this fragmented market
segment, in which many players are jockeying for position and
competitive advantage (there are currently around 1,100 VoIP providers
in the United States alone), there are many permutations and
combinations of these usage models. Some players, like Skype, are
building on the peer-to-peer technologies that made Napster and Kazaa so
popular, (the Skype team is also the team that developed Kazaa), while
others, like Vonage, are targeting the residential customer and focusing
on replicating the "dial tone experience" that AT&T customers are
familiar with.
A language everyone can
understand
The key business effect of the VoIP revolution is
that it deconstructs the traditional telecom pricing model and
competitive advantage. The model of pricing calls based on distance and
length of call falls apart when the carrier is the Internet, which
doesn't care about distance and doesn't keep dedicated circuits "open,"
as is done in traditional dial-phoning.
The competitive advantage
of having the only telecom line into each home and business likewise
loses its power once broadband has penetrated most homes (many analysts
predict that broadband penetration will reach 50 percent in the U.S. by
2009). Therefore, VoIP is a serious, life-and-death challenge to the
traditional telecom carriers, and a spectacular opportunity for those,
either new entrants or traditional players, who can position themselves
well for the coming shake-ups.
VoIP becomes big
business
Which brings us back to the mega-purchases by eBay
and Microsoft. eBay, by purchasing Skype, likely has a few strategic
plays in mind. First of all, they've acquired Skype's 54 million
existing customers, giving them a distinct advantage in the battle for
mindshare, familiarity with the product, and learning curve.
They've also acquired an attractive new feature to enhance their
core business: how cool would it be to be able to chat real-time with
the seller of an item, negotiate price and terms, and close the deal all
while online at eBay?
Finally, the future ability to sell telecom
services to loyal eBay clients, thus extending their brand and gaining
even more customer penetration and "stickiness" is another potential
strategic advantage. The same calculus applies to other online players
like Yahoo and Google, both of which are known to be developing
voice-based offerings to augment their Web presences.
None of
these advantages are automatic, however. Many analysts believe that eBay
has grossly overpaid for Skype, citing the fact that switching from one
VoIP provider to another is relatively easy and painless, that loyalty
in the online world is notoriously lacking (especially when other
providers offer sexy new features or price-points), and that the
valuation of Skype's customers (about $48 each according to the current
deal) is far more than the $2 apiece in revenue these customers
currently generate.
In the next six to 12 months, when offerings
from all the major online players are matched by offerings from
traditional telecoms such as AT&T and British Telecom, consumers and
businesses will have a much better view of the playing field and will be
able to determine which blends of features, functions, and pricing
appeal to them.
Some packages will be targeted at the bare-bones
user who simply wants to replace existing dial-tone service with a
cheaper alternative, while other providers will be developing
sophisticated bundles of services that target mobile business people,
with find-me, follow-me, and single international phone number services.
Some cable providers are already pitching diverse packages that include
Internet access, cable programming, pay-per-view, and residential
telephone service.
As players in these market segments sharpen
their sights on their target market segments and get a clearer idea of
what customers want and are willing to pay for it, we'll see more
focused offerings and, likely, very competitive pricing, as traditional
carriers struggle to retain their clients while upstarts chip away at
the existing telecom base.
What's in it for me?
What
do these developments mean to the IT department? Many IT departments are
already considering migrating their current circuit-switched
"dial-tone-style" phone exchanges to new IP-based products.
Unfortunately, there's still a large divide in many companies between
"the voice guys" and "the data guys" based on a history of divergent
technical infrastructures and very different customer needs and
expectations. While convergence of voice and data networks can mean
tremendous increases in efficiency and cost-effectiveness, savvy CIOs
and IT managers need to keep some guidelines in mind:
-- The IT
team should retain its traditional responsibility of designing,
maintaining, and upgrading the network and of delivering the quality of
service and reliability that both IT and voice users expect
today.
-- The telecom team doesn't go away; only "voice pros" with
experience dealing with the special needs of telecom customers are
prepared to do the telephone application management, exchange and
handset configuration, billing, and call accounting functions that
converged voice networks require.
-- Training and support in
converged networks are more important than ever. It's one thing for an
application like Word or Excel to be unavailable; it's a completely
different business impact when staffers can't get a dial tone. Robust
training on the functionality of new, converged telecom devices, even if
they "look just like phones," is a key factor in the success or failure
of VoIP adoption, as is a support staff that understands the importance
of voice communications and uptime to the business.
The sound
of tomorrow?
So, for both residential users and business
customers, the migration to VoIP will be complex and challenging. Over
the next few years, everyone from the major telecom players like AT&T
and Sprint to the international giants like British Telecom and Deutsche
Telecom, and the Web giants like Google, Yahoo, and eBay, to the
software players like Microsoft and small entrepreneurial entrants, will
be searching for the magic blend of services, features, and prices that
will attract their target market segments.
Whether you're looking
to save a few bucks on your home phone service or to throw out the old
PBX and handsets in your business, you'll be courted by these players,
and others, as they try to convince you to abandon the comfort of your
old dial-up telephone and move into the new world of Internet telephony.
By keeping an eye on the developments in this market segment, and
having the patience to let the marketplace shake out some of the weaker
business models and services concepts, and by thinking through the
operational implications of the migration, you can make the right choice
and potentially save your business significant money, reduce network
complexity, and gain valuable new voice-based services that just might
change your business model.
Rick Freedman is worldwide project
management practice leader at Intel Solution Services, a division of
Intel Corp.